2019 China's agricultural product logistics will reach 3.86 trillion

In the future, the agricultural product logistics market will be further expanded, and it will also open up more demand for the cold chain logistics market. It is predicted that the total value of my country's agricultural product cold chain logistics will exceed 4 trillion yuan in 2018, reaching approximately 4364.21 billion yuan.

Agriculture is the foundation of the national economy, and China’s agricultural production structure includes planting, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery and sideline industries, with planting as the mainstay. As my country has a large population and a relatively small area of ​​arable land, food production is particularly dominant.

In the domestic fresh market, agricultural products are one of the main commodities, and consumers attach great importance to the freshness of the purchased agricultural products. Among them, the logistics transportation of agricultural products has become crucial. The transportation of agricultural products has high requirements, and cold chain logistics has become the main method. However, at present, domestic agricultural product transportation accounts for a small proportion in the logistics market, and even fewer use cold chain logistics systems for distribution.

The total amount of agricultural products logistics will exceed 4 trillion

In recent years, the total amount of China’s agricultural product logistics has been increasing year by year. According to the statistical data of the “Market Forecast and Investment Strategic Planning Analysis Report of China’s Agricultural Product Cold Chain Logistics Industry” released by the Institute, the total value of China’s agricultural product logistics reached 3.03 trillion yuan in 2012. By 2017, China's total agricultural product logistics increased to 3.7 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.78% year-on-year.

As of the end of 2018, China's total agricultural product logistics reached 3.9 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.5%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points over the same period of the previous year. It is predicted that the total amount of China's agricultural product logistics in 2019 will reach 3.86 trillion yuan, and the total amount of China's agricultural product logistics will exceed 4 trillion yuan in 2020, and it is predicted that the total value of China's agricultural product logistics will reach about 4.53 trillion yuan in 2023 The average compound growth rate for 2019-2023 is about 4.08%.

In terms of total agricultural product cold chain logistics, according to statistics, as of 2017, my country's agricultural product cold chain logistics totaled nearly 4 trillion yuan, while the overall social logistics totaled 252.8 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly 1.6%. The market space is still huge. In the future, the agricultural product logistics market will be further expanded, and it will also open up more demand for the cold chain logistics market. It is predicted that the total value of my country's agricultural product cold chain logistics will exceed 4 trillion yuan in 2018, reaching approximately 4364.21 billion yuan.

Pain points in the development of the agricultural product logistics industry

1. The agricultural product cold chain system is imperfect

At present, my country's modern cold chain logistics system is not yet perfect. According to the survey, due to the imperfect cold chain system, about 12 million tons of fruits and 130 million tons of vegetables are wasted each year, with a total value of at least 10 billion US dollars; the cold chain application rate is less than 20%, and the per capita cold storage capacity is only 0.05 cubic meters. Rice, accounting for 7%, refrigerated and insulated vehicles accounted for only 0.3% of freight vehicles, a large gap with developed countries; existing refrigeration and refrigeration facilities are generally outdated, nearly half of the state-owned cold storage has been used for more than 30 years; regional distribution is uneven There is a serious shortage of cold storage in the farming and animal husbandry production areas in the central region and the characteristic agricultural regions in the west. Large-scale agricultural product wholesale markets, regional agricultural product distribution centers and other key logistics nodes that undertake more than 70% of the country’s wholesale trade of fresh agricultural products lack refrigeration and refrigeration facilities.

2. The overall level of informatization is low

In my country, rural logistics companies generally lack modern logistics awareness, advanced logistics management concepts, and backward operation methods. Some advanced logistics information technologies such as RFID, GPS, GPRS, and GIS (geographic information technology) have not been fully applied in the field of agricultural products. The cold chain logistics technology of agricultural products origin is still relatively backward, the equipment is poor, the necessary post-production pre-cooling treatment is lacking, and the loss rate is high; most cold chain logistics transportation has not been equipped with information equipment such as positioning and temperature monitoring; warehousing management, transportation management, order management Other information systems have not been widely popularized; cold chain logistics companies lack information monitoring methods covering the entire process of cold chain logistics, and lack of "broken chain" supervision.

3. Low standardization

The degree of intensification of agricultural product production in my country is relatively low, and the family-run mode is still the mainstream, which restricts the process of the standardized production of agricultural products in my country. Compared with the actual needs of the upstream and downstream industries for cold chain logistics and the objective needs of the industry's own development, the standard specification system of each link and market main body of the cold chain logistics is not perfect, and the standards of cold chain logistics facilities, temperature control and operation specifications There are phenomena such as inadequate implementation, and standard specifications in some areas are still vacant. There is no standardization of agricultural products, and it is difficult to form large-scale circulation, thus suppressing the cold chain logistics demand brought about by the innovation of transportation and marketing models.

4. Agricultural products are difficult to add value in logistics

The initial product value of crops is very low, and a large part of its market value is generated after leaving the production field. However, at present, China's agricultural product logistics is basically a porter of agricultural products. During the circulation process of agricultural products from producers to consumers, whether they pass through the wholesale market or retail market, or reach the retail terminal, the path taken is almost the same. Except for a few that have been processed, most of them are the original packaging and the original appearance of the product. The secondary processing and packaging of the product are missing, and the added value is low.

Development trend of agricultural product logistics industry

In 2017, the State Council issued "Opinions on Accelerating the Development of Cold Chain Logistics to Ensure Food Safety and Promote Consumption Upgrades" and "Guiding Opinions on Actively Promoting Supply Chain Innovation and Application"; "Implementation Opinions on Promoting Consumption Upgrade"; the Ministry of Commerce issued the "Special Action Plan for Efficient Distribution in Urban and Rural Areas". In 2018, the Central Document No. 1 mentioned the focus on building a modern agricultural product cold chain warehousing and logistics system.

In recent years, my country's cold chain standards have been continuously introduced, the construction of cold storage in production areas has increased, and the volume of cold storage, fresh storage and modified atmosphere storage will increase. The cold chain logistics system will gradually move towards third-party services. Laws and regulations related to food safety have gradually improved. my country's food safety standards system has completed the review and modification of 5,000 food standards and reviewed 1,293 standards.

1,224 items of national food safety standards.

2. New technologies and new models in the cold chain promote the upgrading of the industry. In 2017, the technological innovation of China's cold chain logistics include: post-production commodity processing technology, slaughter and processing links to achieve low temperature control technology, packaging scale technology, integrated cold chain technology, temperature monitoring technology, food traceability technology, HACCP technology, 3S technology, fresh agricultural product quality grading technology, upstream and downstream enterprises cold chain docking technology, supply chain management technology, food traceability technology, etc. Innovations in the supply chain model include the "intelligent integrated" model, "community" model, "custodial model", "closed loop" model, "instant control" model, supply chain "parallel" model, etc. Through the construction of its own logistics system, JD.com has built a cold chain logistics network covering more than 300 cities to solve the problem of weak rural infrastructure. Cainiao integrates cold chain logistics resources through the platform to provide cold chain logistics services for agricultural products.

3. The health concept has been strengthened and the demand for high-quality agricultural products has expanded. With the continuous improvement of living standards and the further integration of technology into people's lives, consumers' lifestyles continue to evolve. There are higher standards for food quality and variety, and organic food, imported food, and refined diets are sought after. Fresh food is a daily necessity for residents, and the total retail consumption is huge. In 2016, the total retail sales of fresh products in my country was 324 million tons, and the total retail sales was 4.57 trillion yuan, an increase of 9.30% year-on-year in 2015, of which the sales of vegetables and fruits accounted for more than 30%. According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the total retail sales of social consumer goods in my country was 33.23 trillion yuan in 2016. According to this calculation, the total retail sales of fresh food accounted for 13.8% of the total social zero.

4. The market and capital jointly promote the gradual change of the industry pattern. First, some retail enterprises and manufacturers have built their own cold chain business. For example, Yiguo Group, which started with fresh food e-commerce, established Anxianda, a cold chain logistics platform. Second, express logistics companies have opened up a cold chain battlefield. Shentong Express established Shenxue Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. last year to provide refrigerated, frozen warehousing and cold chain one-day and next-day supply chain services; SF Holdings recently announced the establishment of a joint venture with American cold chain logistics company Xia Hui. Third, third-party cold-chain companies have ushered in an outbreak period. Due to the needs of the entire cold chain, the cold chain supply chain involves a large number of resource integrations and has a high complexity, which provides a huge market space for professional third-party companies.